Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-09
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.26. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.21 to 0.26. 56 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	542	542
0.27	1,433	1,975
0.28	991	2,966
0.29	1,369	4,335
0.30	2,847	7,182
0.31	991	8,172
0.32	461	8,633
0.33	2,620	11,254
0.34	6,289	17,543
0.35	225	17,768
0.36	509	18,277
0.37	619	18,896

Spread0.01Mid0.26

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	237	237
0.24	1,453	1,689
0.23	2,201	3,891
0.22	996	4,887
0.21	300	5,187
0.20	705	5,892
0.19	1,839	7,731
0.18	5,394	13,125
0.17	100	13,225
0.16	22	13,247
0.15	10	13,257
0.14	10	13,267

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	237	237
0.76	1,453	1,689
0.77	2,201	3,891
0.78	996	4,887
0.79	300	5,187
0.80	705	5,892
0.81	1,839	7,731
0.82	5,394	13,125
0.83	100	13,225
0.84	22	13,247
0.85	10	13,257
0.86	10	13,267

Spread0.01Mid0.74

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	542	542
0.73	1,433	1,975
0.72	991	2,966
0.71	1,369	4,335
0.70	2,847	7,182
0.69	991	8,172
0.68	461	8,633
0.67	2,620	11,254
0.66	6,289	17,543
0.65	225	17,768
0.64	509	18,277
0.63	619	18,896

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Angeredbees	Yes	4,986.61
kakdelaa	Yes	4,345.72
Poiuztrewq	Yes	3,300
hulitest2025	Yes	3,249.25
smalltimezzz	Yes	2,444.48
plymbus	Yes	997.67
sebyastiens	Yes	640.98
sferfgefvrfgh1234	Yes	640
Mei-ji	Yes	500
0xd0D82390736282E63B4Cdd9d6854f8CaFf4A3393-1715955170566	Yes	103.82
Fugger12345	Yes	100
0xc948…e6cd	Yes	83.79
YANIVALTALEV	Yes	83.33
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396	Yes	76.16
alienhand	Yes	65.22
olaszba	Yes	50
Stepwether	Yes	22.81
BeLuGa2	Yes	22.17
Kot.ua	Yes	19.23
0x7bc3E4534D5320CB6056762962A8dFa831abf868-1773057330930	Yes	19.23

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:41:44	BUY	Yes	0.26	62	$16.12
12:31:24	BUY	Yes	0.2599999896	19	$5.00
10:26:29	SELL	No	0.74	1	$0.73
10:08:54	BUY	Yes	0.2599999896	4	$1.00
09:04:45	BUY	Yes	0.2599999896	19	$5.00
06:09:51	SELL	Yes	0.26	115	$29.86
06:08:12	SELL	No	0.728766	350	$255.07
06:08:09	BUY	Yes	0.26	640	$166.40
06:08:09	BUY	Yes	0.2699432808	104	$28.08
06:08:09	BUY	Yes	0.27	50	$13.50
06:01:50	BUY	No	0.75	9	$6.44
02:00:12	BUY	Yes	0.2599999896	4	$1.00
00:01:45	BUY	No	0.76	9	$6.70
00:00:09	BUY	No	0.76	131	$99.56
22:44:57	SELL	No	0.74	107	$79.30
22:41:42	BUY	Yes	0.26	50	$13.00
20:27:35	SELL	Yes	0.26	30	$7.72
20:27:33	BUY	Yes	0.26	85	$22.18
20:26:39	SELL	Yes	0.26	214	$55.76
20:26:24	BUY	Yes	0.26	97	$25.22
20:16:06	BUY	No	0.75	61	$45.54
20:09:23	BUY	No	0.75	70	$52.50
18:56:39	SELL	No	0.75	308	$230.87
18:56:38	BUY	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00
18:01:45	BUY	No	0.76	9	$7.08