Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-09
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.22. Range 0.20 to 0.23. 55 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	1,603	1,603
0.24	1,897	3,500
0.25	743	4,243
0.26	217	4,460
0.27	468	4,928
0.28	210	5,139
0.29	1,485	6,624
0.30	2,488	9,112
0.31	491	9,603
0.32	536	10,139
0.33	1,725	11,864
0.34	1,378	13,242

Spread0.01Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	1,717	1,717
0.21	2,421	4,138
0.20	3,215	7,354
0.19	1,568	8,922
0.18	4,097	13,019
0.17	71	13,090
0.16	10	13,100
0.15	397	13,497
0.07	306	13,803
0.06	187	13,989
0.05	640	14,629
0.04	490	15,119

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	1,717	1,717
0.79	2,421	4,138
0.80	3,215	7,354
0.81	1,568	8,922
0.82	4,097	13,019
0.83	71	13,090
0.84	10	13,100
0.85	397	13,497
0.93	306	13,803
0.94	187	13,989
0.95	640	14,629
0.96	490	15,119

Spread0.01Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	1,603	1,603
0.76	1,897	3,500
0.75	743	4,243
0.74	217	4,460
0.73	468	4,928
0.72	210	5,139
0.71	1,485	6,624
0.70	2,488	9,112
0.69	491	9,603
0.68	536	10,139
0.67	1,725	11,864
0.66	1,378	13,242

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Angeredbees	Yes	4,986.61
smalltimezzz	Yes	4,411.14
Poiuztrewq	Yes	3,499.95
hulitest2025	Yes	3,249.25
plymbus	Yes	665.12
Mei-ji	Yes	500
Rizh	Yes	500
globall	Yes	350
sebyastiens	Yes	350
pykue	Yes	273
neverhackme	Yes	103.28
Fugger12345	Yes	100
alienhand	Yes	71.43
pppnn	Yes	60.49
oboltusovao	Yes	40
0xd0D82390736282E63B4Cdd9d6854f8CaFf4A3393-1715955170566	Yes	40
Carlos8902	Yes	28.57
BeLuGa2	Yes	22.19
Kot.ua	Yes	17.39
515669691	Yes	9.31

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:05:20	BUY	Yes	0.2299999914	17	$4.00
07:39:17	BUY	Yes	0.22	40	$8.80
06:56:35	SELL	Yes	0.21	10	$2.10
06:08:12	BUY	No	0.7899999972	43	$34.13
06:08:12	BUY	No	0.79	111	$88.01
02:00:17	BUY	Yes	0.219999978	5	$1.00
20:52:23	BUY	Yes	0.22	5	$1.10
20:16:06	BUY	Yes	0.22	61	$13.36
20:16:05	BUY	Yes	0.22	430	$94.60
20:09:23	BUY	Yes	0.22	50	$11.00
20:09:23	BUY	Yes	0.22	273	$60.06
20:01:18	BUY	Yes	0.22	350	$77.00
18:56:39	BUY	No	0.79	56	$44.11
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.79	20	$15.80
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.79	47	$37.13
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.79	40	$31.60
17:08:53	BUY	Yes	0.22	10	$2.20
16:08:11	SELL	Yes	0.21	0	$0.03
16:00:20	BUY	No	0.79	18	$14.22
15:53:33	BUY	No	0.79	80	$63.20
15:53:33	BUY	No	0.79	30	$23.70
15:53:33	BUY	No	0.79	12	$9.48
15:11:02	BUY	Yes	0.21	367	$77.17
13:24:23	BUY	Yes	0.2099999895	5	$1.00
13:04:51	BUY	Yes	0.2099999895	5	$1.00