0x9de8aa4a050944bec5916fb8168025e6cfd3108c
0x9de8aa4a050944bec5916fb8168025e6cfd3108c
- Realised P&L
- $-0.03
- Volume
- $316.67
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $6.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.085 | $1.31 | −$0.69 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.089 | $0.85 | −$1.15 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? · No | 0.370 | 0.255 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.085 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.035 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.034 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.045 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.023 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.022 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.038 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.020 | $0.13 | −$0.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.322Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$0.44at 0.029Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.169Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
- +$0.35at 0.083Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$0.22at 0.131Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 08:06 | Japan recession in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.63 |
| 07-14 00:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.13 |
| 07-09 02:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.23 |
| 07-08 16:03 | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.60 |
| 07-01 01:16 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.15 |
| 06-24 23:53 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.19 |
| 06-21 23:34 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 23:34 | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 23:33 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.1969998469 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 21:53 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.45 |
| 06-19 12:26 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999331 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 12:24 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 12:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 22:46 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.20 |
| 06-18 22:46 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | SELL | 0.113 | $1.36 |