PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9de8aa4a050944bec5916fb8168025e6cfd3108c

0x9de8aa4a050944bec5916fb8168025e6cfd3108c

Realised P&L
$-0.03
Volume
$316.67
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$6.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$1.31−$0.69
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2090.089$0.85−$1.15
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? · No0.3700.255$0.69−$0.31
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.1400.085$0.61−$0.39
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$0.59−$0.41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0640.035$0.54−$0.46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0730.034$0.46−$0.54
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1100.045$0.41−$0.59
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0580.023$0.40−$0.60
US defaults on debt by 2027? · Yes0.0660.022$0.34−$0.66
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · Yes0.1200.038$0.32−$0.68
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1500.020$0.13−$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 08:06Japan recession in 2026?SELL0.19$0.63
07-14 00:32Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.59$1.13
07-09 02:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$1.23
07-08 16:03Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?SELL0.21$2.60
07-01 01:16Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?SELL0.46$1.15
06-24 23:53Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.44$1.19
06-21 23:34US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-21 23:34Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-21 23:33AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.1969998469$1.00
06-21 21:53Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?SELL0.042$1.45
06-19 12:26Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0729999331$1.00
06-19 12:24Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
06-19 12:23Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.064$1.00
06-18 22:46SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?SELL0.18$1.20
06-18 22:46Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?SELL0.113$1.36