acelerao
0x8f2031db8833c7582efe6e7bdc7cf9e46904875c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.84
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 326
- Open portfolio
- $176.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded326
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.47at 0.250Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$4.25at 0.150US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.15at 0.170Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
- +$3.95at 0.210Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.95at 0.210Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 06:20 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 07-04 05:45 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-04 04:38 | LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-04 03:21 | LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 07-04 02:05 | Will 8–9 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 07-04 01:51 | Counter-Strike: Prestige Academy vs Västerås (BO3) - United21 Group B | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-04 01:26 | Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group B | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 07-03 22:59 | Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-03 21:02 | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 07-03 08:42 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 07-03 07:26 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 07-02 19:11 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 07-02 18:46 | Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 07-02 02:25 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.919 | $4.60 |
| 07-01 20:11 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |