PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xPotash

0x832320693d2d2911e91a51d8edd08f54d2136bb8

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$151.1k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$6.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8410.895$2.3k+$139.20
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.4450.954$884.57+$471.63
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3780.305$884.49$211.89
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.2420.915$594.53+$437.31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5440.405$425.24$146.03
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.7340.982$245.42+$61.89
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0840.182$219.47+$118.86
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8100.996$199.20+$37.20
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2420.160$99.03$51.22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.6090.487$97.50$24.30
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · No0.9000.975$97.45+$7.45
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0280.033$46.51+$6.44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5400.595$21.87+$2.02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5400.595$11.83+$1.09
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0040.003$3.75$2.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 19:512026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.41$410.00
07-07 19:50Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?SELL0.946$75.68
07-07 19:48Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.981$588.60
06-14 23:142026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.41$15.07
06-14 23:14Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.992$595.20
06-14 23:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.8429999996$200.00
06-14 23:08US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.1500495983$30.25
06-14 23:08US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.06$24.00
06-14 23:08US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.04$8.00
06-14 21:28US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.19925$39.85
06-14 21:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.23$46.00
06-14 21:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.46$4.60
06-14 13:26Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.57$124.46
06-14 13:012026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.42$32.13
06-14 12:59Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.44$26.25