PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tilchi

0x7f1d4b950c6392650713252cebac3293d5f745dc

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$72.6k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9080.957$337.49+$16.92
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9770.975$337.34−$0.74
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? · No0.9340.978$317.68+$13.96
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9270.974$295.26+$14.24
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.9510.952$276.08+$0.24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9240.945$236.25+$5.25
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9590.974$233.64+$3.47
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8390.975$220.48+$30.59
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No0.9470.966$217.11+$4.26
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9210.945$189.00+$4.80
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8450.835$183.70−$2.15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8260.960$167.00+$23.18
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9700.962$163.54−$1.33
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8640.945$151.20+$12.90
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7670.915$132.68+$21.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 21:04Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.969$9.69
10-14 18:40Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.97$9.70
10-14 18:29Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?BUY0.89$26.70
10-14 05:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$12.45
10-13 20:37Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?BUY0.99$21.78
10-13 18:30Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?SELL0.229$28.07
10-11 13:09Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.97$14.54
10-11 12:49Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.986$14.79
10-11 12:12Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.979$9.79
10-11 12:09Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.976$9.76
10-11 12:08Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.978$24.45
10-10 23:34Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?BUY0.961$19.22
10-10 14:35Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.9965$10.16
10-10 13:34Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.999$141.93
10-10 11:15Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.999$148.63