Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 30?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-03
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.40 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.09 to 0.68. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	723	723
0.12	228	951
0.61	5	956
0.62	1,684	2,640
0.67	2,424	5,064
0.72	2,857	7,922
0.77	3,826	11,748
0.81	5,474	17,221
0.86	8,000	25,221
0.91	12,444	37,666
0.95	32,000	69,666
0.98	47	69,713

Spread0.04Mid0.09

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.07	725	725
0.06	230	955
0.02	47	1,002

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.93	725	725
0.94	230	955
0.98	47	1,002

Spread0.04Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	723	723
0.88	228	951
0.39	5	956
0.38	1,684	2,640
0.33	2,424	5,064
0.28	2,857	7,922
0.23	3,826	11,748
0.19	5,474	17,221
0.14	8,000	25,221
0.09	12,444	37,666
0.05	32,000	69,666
0.02	47	69,713

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	20
lolzzzlol	Yes	18.03
daniel122134	Yes	4.75
homaki	Yes	1.05
0x78c0…b3ca	No	40
Scoopdewhoop	No	2.78
memetal	No	1.05

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:13:24	BUY	Yes	0.28	20	$5.60
09:13:06	SELL	No	0.71	20	$14.20
01:29:24	SELL	No	0.09	20	$1.80
23:26:36	BUY	Yes	0.5399999568	3	$1.50
23:16:54	SELL	No	0.68	20	$13.60
23:15:24	BUY	No	0.3	20	$6.00
23:14:28	BUY	Yes	0.759999696	2	$1.50
22:44:27	SELL	Yes	0.04	20	$0.80
22:27:31	BUY	No	0.44	20	$8.80
18:08:10	BUY	Yes	0.24	20	$4.80
18:04:42	BUY	No	0.25	20	$5.00
22:18:42	BUY	No	0.95	1	$1.00