PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

filepin

0x718b4828d88edef11949191417f85752c2dc1bf2

Realised P&L
$-880.86
Volume
$48.4k
Markets traded
1,407
Open portfolio
$300.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,407
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4500.645$85.91+$25.97
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.6120.690$81.79+$9.23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2310.275$20.00+$3.22
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.4200.585$15.20+$4.29
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? · No0.6600.610$12.73−$1.04
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3400.345$9.69+$0.14
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? · No0.7200.962$8.09+$2.03
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.7900.835$7.64+$0.41
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.105$7.50−$10.36
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5000.345$7.18−$3.23
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No0.6060.615$6.78+$0.10
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · No0.9600.952$6.73−$0.06
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · Yes0.8700.992$6.55+$0.80
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.970$6.28+$0.13
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · No0.2540.290$5.95+$0.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 08:23Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.431$4.74
10-17 08:23Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?SELL0.411$2.37
10-17 06:45Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.47$2.90
10-13 05:10Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.638$4.00
10-12 17:54Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?SELL0.66$3.63
10-11 10:51Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.56$3.27
10-11 10:50Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.56$3.28
10-11 10:50Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.56$3.28
10-11 10:49Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.56$3.28
10-11 10:47Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.57$3.50
10-10 18:39US imports Russian diesel by October 31?SELL0.28$1.77
10-10 10:28Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?SELL0.55$29.02
10-10 10:23Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.6$10.42
10-10 10:18Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.6$10.54
10-10 10:17Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.6$10.55
Trader filepin · PolyBot Pro