0x6e9b52e970fe1765bc3fa94bb09d394f8c5de445
- Realised P&L
- $-15.07
- Volume
- $517.63
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $26.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.52at 0.667Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$1.46at 0.517Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$1.20at 0.736Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
- +$1.11at 0.552Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
- +$1.09at 0.562Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:29 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.529999783 | $1.05 |
| 09-16 21:17 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $1.05 |
| 09-16 20:55 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.5099997829 | $1.01 |
| 09-16 20:16 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.6099999953 | $1.31 |
| 09-01 07:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9669999895 | $1.20 |
| 08-29 21:47 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.8399999686 | $1.07 |
| 08-28 00:20 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.21 |
| 08-22 09:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.04 |
| 08-20 23:51 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.9889999934 | $1.20 |
| 08-20 23:25 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099998777 | $1.06 |
| 08-20 14:21 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998849 | $1.07 |
| 08-19 01:25 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.938 | $1.48 |
| 08-18 23:58 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299999737 | $1.06 |
| 08-16 11:26 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.24 |
| 08-15 05:57 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.987999993 | $1.13 |