0x55Bae2656F1A87030B4E585a5EB3eb371Cf93e4B-1779457425886
0x55bae2656f1a87030b4e585a5eb3eb371cf93e4b
- Realised P&L
- $13.53
- Volume
- $742.33
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $85.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.15at 0.196Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?
- +$8.98at 0.532Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$1.17at 0.810Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$0.81at 0.860Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.43at 0.920Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 14:31 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.1292631972 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 14:29 | Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 14:28 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 14:23 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 14:21 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3455083807 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 14:20 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 14:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.599999952 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 11:23 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:23 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9619998515 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 11:20 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 15:48 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 15:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3929999787 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 16:08 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |