PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x55Bae2656F1A87030B4E585a5EB3eb371Cf93e4B-1779457425886

0x55bae2656f1a87030b4e585a5eb3eb371cf93e4b

Realised P&L
$13.53
Volume
$742.33
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$85.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 14:31Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.1292631972$1.00
10-16 14:29Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-16 14:28Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-16 14:23Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?BUY0.4399999947$10.00
10-14 14:21Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?BUY0.3455083807$10.00
10-14 14:20Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
10-14 14:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.599999952$5.00
09-17 11:23Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-17 11:23Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-17 11:21Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9619998515$5.00
09-17 11:20Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.9199999338$5.00
09-16 15:48Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-16 15:46Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
09-16 15:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3929999787$5.00
09-01 16:08Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999646$5.00