Lbr9
0x4a0e71391b98c3d43dda90a82ca02528e228bac9
- Realised P&L
- $368.37
- Volume
- $44.6k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $631.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.78at 0.178Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
- +$128.13at 0.223Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$78.00at 0.330Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$67.47at 0.019Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
- +$30.38at 0.790Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 11:58 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.22 |
| 09-30 19:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 09-30 19:26 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 09-29 09:09 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $160.00 |
| 09-24 22:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 09-24 22:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $99.18 |
| 09-20 14:12 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.05 |
| 09-20 14:11 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $11.55 |
| 09-18 07:58 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $26.41 |
| 09-16 23:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $91.31 |
| 09-16 23:08 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $50.52 |
| 09-16 12:50 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.339663 | $33.97 |
| 09-15 07:52 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11264975 | $45.06 |
| 09-13 19:30 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1728975265 | $14.68 |
| 09-13 19:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3861739951 | $137.10 |