PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lbr9

0x4a0e71391b98c3d43dda90a82ca02528e228bac9

Realised P&L
$368.37
Volume
$44.6k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$631.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.0800.075$150.00−$10.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1310.165$143.55+$29.45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2330.215$64.50−$5.50
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.955$38.19+$0.60
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.915$36.60−$0.60
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1130.110$33.22−$1.00
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? · Yes0.1600.205$25.63+$5.63
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.0530.058$25.37+$1.99
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0260.033$25.08+$5.00
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.095$20.90+$1.10
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0340.040$20.00+$3.00
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$19.25−$1.75
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.870$15.90−$1.10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0600.065$13.00+$1.00
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? · Yes0.0310.045$0.40+$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 11:58NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.11$22.22
09-30 19:27NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$24.00
09-30 19:26NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.12$12.00
09-29 09:09Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.08$160.00
09-24 22:16Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.19$38.00
09-24 22:16Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.19$99.18
09-20 14:12Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.21$6.05
09-20 14:11Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.21$11.55
09-18 07:58Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?SELL0.27$26.41
09-16 23:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.67$91.31
09-16 23:08Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.87$50.52
09-16 12:50Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?SELL0.339663$33.97
09-15 07:52NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.11264975$45.06
09-13 19:30Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1728975265$14.68
09-13 19:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3861739951$137.10