PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-29
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.255 over the period, from 0.255. Range 0.001 to 0.470. 29 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0011010
0.1704353
0.2381366
0.989181247
0.9905252
0.997333585
0.9985001,085
0.9991,0652,150

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9991010
0.8304353
0.7621366
0.011181247
0.0105252
0.003333585
0.0025001,085
0.0011,0652,150

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ptgybotYes140.98
tradetosurvive1Yes120
jazz2legsYes58.13
.MentheYes50
a5533Yes20
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10
gogogo-v3Yes5
triklozoidYes5
0x3ff7…2fa2Yes1
bubububblebuttNo285.37
0xa5ef…2966No75
spxtestNo51
GuyFromTinderNo7.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:30:06BUYNo0.999175$174.82
03:09:18SELLNo0.9920$19.81
03:08:32BUYYes0.016396042361$1.00
02:08:06SELLNo0.99840$39.92
02:00:54BUYNo0.9992$1.50
02:00:45BUYNo0.99914$13.49
00:19:20BUYNo0.9951$50.49
23:55:53BUYNo0.9910$9.90
23:46:54BUYNo0.983333333330$29.50
23:33:05BUYNo0.89100$89.00
19:54:41BUYNo0.889999991310$9.23
11:43:54SELLNo0.8318$15.03
11:33:21BUYYes0.1658$9.30
10:56:57BUYYes0.120$2.00
09:16:21BUYYes0.0821$1.68