PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be under 5.3?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. up 0.000 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.005 to 0.006. 5 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010140140
0.92940180
0.93940220
0.9671,0001,220
0.9742,5003,720
0.9803,0006,720
0.9973337,053
0.9985007,553
0.9991,0658,618

Spread0.009Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001365365

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999365365

Spread0.009Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990140140
0.07140180
0.06140220
0.0331,0001,220
0.0262,5003,720
0.0203,0006,720
0.0033337,053
0.0025007,553
0.0011,0658,618

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes23
a5533Yes20
.MentheYes5.1
Hugin-og-MuninYes5
0xa5ef…2966No33.1
0x3ff7…2fa2No20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:13:51BUYNo0.9995$5.09
08:04:57SELLYes0.0025$0.01
08:04:53BUYNo0.99818$17.96
04:45:27SELLYes0.002650$0.13
04:40:56SELLYes0.00320$0.06
04:37:23BUYNo0.9950$49.50
04:32:59SELLYes0.0120$0.20
04:24:35BUYYes0.0220$0.40