Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.18. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.18 to 0.23. 5 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	191	191
0.21	100	291
0.28	11	302
0.29	20	322
0.97	521	842
0.98	3,000	3,842
0.99	5	3,847

Spread0.04Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	70	70
0.15	140	210
0.03	61	271
0.02	20	291
0.01	200	491

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	70	70
0.85	140	210
0.97	61	271
0.98	20	291
0.99	200	491

Spread0.04Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	191	191
0.79	100	291
0.72	11	302
0.71	20	322
0.03	521	842
0.02	3,000	3,842
0.01	5	3,847

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
jazz2legs	Yes	64.75
tradetosurvive1	Yes	18
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	10
GuyFromTinder	Yes	5.1
buyat89	Yes	4.35
0xa5ef…2966	No	33.1
0x3ff7…2fa2	No	24.75
physical-geographer	No	20.8
bubububblebutt	No	20
spxtest	No	4.35

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:13:51	BUY	No	0.83	5	$4.23
08:13:51	BUY	No	0.83	5	$4.15
08:04:53	BUY	No	0.81	5	$4.05
08:04:53	BUY	No	0.81	18	$14.58
07:56:02	SELL	No	0.8	20	$16.00
05:29:17	BUY	No	0.78	20	$15.60
05:26:29	BUY	Yes	0.2299999517	4	$1.00
04:59:44	BUY	Yes	0.2307335907	65	$14.94
04:59:44	BUY	Yes	0.25	21	$5.20