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Traders

konduktor

0x3e7c23f97328528abe5d40c9b08a3d76e1a1eb65

Realised P&L
$41.43
Volume
$915.37
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$47.07

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SHEIN IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6110.918$7.52+$2.52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.245$5.83+$0.83
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5530.635$5.75+$0.75
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · No0.9000.915$5.08+$0.08
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.9100.915$5.03+$0.03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3940.460$4.67+$0.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.6000.305$2.54$2.46
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? · Yes0.8300.895$2.16+$0.16
Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9000.950$2.11+$0.11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2140.209$1.96$0.04
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7600.650$1.71$0.29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1800.095$1.58$1.42
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2900.125$0.43$0.57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.5700.180$0.32$0.68
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? · Yes0.6500.145$0.22$0.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 20:08Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?BUY0.7899999802$4.00
07-10 20:07Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.3899999558$3.00
07-10 20:05Anduril IPO before 2027?BUY0.91$5.00
07-10 20:04Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?BUY0.9$5.00
07-10 20:04Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
07-10 20:04SHEIN IPO before 2027?BUY0.6109999996$3.00
07-10 20:04SHEIN IPO before 2027?BUY0.61099996$2.00
07-04 06:53Will Discord IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$2.00
07-04 06:51AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.8299999792$2.00
07-04 06:50Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?BUY0.65$1.00
07-04 06:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.6$4.00
07-04 06:48Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.91$5.00
07-04 06:42NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.209999974$5.00
07-04 06:40Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group BBUY0.71$2.00
07-04 06:40Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageBUY0.7$1.00