Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.47. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.20 to 0.64. 101 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	93	93
0.62	30	123
0.65	30	153
0.69	30	183
0.70	23	206
0.72	39	245
0.73	30	275
0.74	80	355
0.86	30	385
0.89	20	405
0.90	21	426
0.97	11	437

Spread0.28Mid0.47

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	42	42
0.32	13	55
0.15	47	102
0.14	5	107
0.13	85	191
0.10	21	212
0.05	11	223
0.04	13	236
0.02	10	246
0.01	76	321

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	42	42
0.68	13	55
0.85	47	102
0.86	5	107
0.87	85	191
0.90	21	212
0.95	11	223
0.96	13	236
0.98	10	246
0.99	76	321

Spread0.28Mid0.53

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	93	93
0.38	30	123
0.35	30	153
0.31	30	183
0.30	23	206
0.28	39	245
0.27	30	275
0.26	80	355
0.14	30	385
0.11	20	405
0.10	21	426
0.03	11	437

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Aggggaa12	Yes	67.14
marketmakere	Yes	20
hithitfar	No	26.56
abc3	No	21
ShitterPiff	No	13.25
0xaa42…4ef6	No	13.19
UpTheStairs	No	10
AJSV	No	3.16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:25:03	BUY	No	0.4	41	$16.40
00:29:30	SELL	No	0.63	2	$1.17
00:29:30	BUY	Yes	0.37	9	$3.33
17:04:53	BUY	No	0.34	9	$3.06
17:03:48	BUY	No	0.35	2	$0.65
17:03:48	BUY	No	0.3499999915	35	$12.30
12:25:51	BUY	Yes	0.32	13	$4.22
11:38:41	SELL	No	0.3	3	$0.92
11:38:00	SELL	No	0.65	3	$2.00
05:46:21	BUY	No	0.46	7	$2.99
02:56:03	SELL	No	0.66	10	$6.60
02:55:50	SELL	No	0.59	10	$5.90
02:55:42	BUY	No	0.47	10	$4.70
02:55:42	BUY	No	0.47	10	$4.70
01:24:17	BUY	Yes	0.2	13	$2.65
00:52:20	BUY	Yes	0.1699999956	34	$5.82