Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.21. down 0.29 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.19 to 0.50. 102 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	75	75
0.25	45	121
0.29	10	131
0.31	20	151
0.74	80	231
0.97	10	241
0.98	15	256
0.99	48	304

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	138	138
0.20	113	251
0.14	50	301
0.03	18	319
0.02	31	350
0.01	26	375

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	138	138
0.80	113	251
0.86	50	301
0.97	18	319
0.98	31	350
0.99	26	375

Spread0.01Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	75	75
0.75	45	121
0.71	10	131
0.69	20	151
0.26	80	231
0.03	10	241
0.02	15	256
0.01	48	304

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	27.76
alphalab1	Yes	20
youtube-trader	No	20
UpTheStairs	No	20
Termostating	No	7.76

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:22:38	SELL	No	0.78	20	$15.60
12:17:39	BUY	No	0.79	20	$15.80
18:18:39	BUY	Yes	0.2099999936	8	$1.63
10:43:39	SELL	No	0.7	20	$14.00
01:05:24	BUY	Yes	0.24	20	$4.80