PolyBot

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Traders

Ruxpin84

0x2f916905350a9407fd9cd6105528d84d0160f6ff

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$50.6k
Markets traded
249
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded249
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2330.165$412.50$170.00
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? · No0.9101.000$399.80+$35.80
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1900.105$105.00$85.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2300.205$102.50$12.50
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.7050.275$55.00$86.00
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? · Yes0.1090.051$26.16$30.40
Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027? · Yes0.5280.545$23.57+$0.71
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.055$22.00$58.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.026$20.03$39.12
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.185$18.50$19.50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.5200.875$17.50+$7.10
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0260.021$16.94$4.46
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.6200.150$15.00$47.00
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.1240.027$13.50$48.50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.065$13.00$41.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 20:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.29$201.52
09-10 20:08Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.19$16.42
09-10 20:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$80.00
09-10 20:02Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.23$4.84
09-10 20:01Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.19$19.00
07-15 18:34Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.86$86.00
07-15 18:32Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.71$35.50
07-15 18:32Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.7$14.00
07-15 18:32Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.62$62.00
07-15 18:31Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?BUY0.88$98.56
07-15 18:29Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?BUY0.91$9.09
07-15 18:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.53$77.93
07-15 18:23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.18$180.00
06-26 08:35Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.53$53.00
06-26 08:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.42$84.00