Ruxpin84
0x2f916905350a9407fd9cd6105528d84d0160f6ff
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $50.6k
- Markets traded
- 249
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded249
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$235.00at 0.530US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$123.55at 0.382Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$103.49at 0.503Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$96.00at 0.200Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$94.20at 0.698Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 20:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.29 | $201.52 |
| 09-10 20:08 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $16.42 |
| 09-10 20:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $80.00 |
| 09-10 20:02 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.84 |
| 09-10 20:01 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 07-15 18:34 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 07-15 18:32 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 07-15 18:32 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 07-15 18:32 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 07-15 18:31 | Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19? | BUY | 0.88 | $98.56 |
| 07-15 18:29 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.09 |
| 07-15 18:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $77.93 |
| 07-15 18:23 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 06-26 08:35 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 06-26 08:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $84.00 |