PolyBot

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Traders

Xiyai

0x2b357c405600c09156148500544df772b34a2ec5

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$172.6k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$82.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0110.004$34.14$58.25
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0410.029$12.63$5.36
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.0650.037$8.03$5.97
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0310.004$7.73$52.69
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$6.60$3.55
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.018$6.51$20.49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.2210.046$2.95$11.05
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$2.88$7.12
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1900.036$0.76$3.24
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0530.024$0.44$0.56
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.2100.000$0.00$5.00
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No0.1700.000$0.00$4.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.2100.000$0.00$6.00
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$3.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 08:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999969$6.00
09-14 08:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.2$6.48
09-14 08:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.209999996$6.80
09-14 08:52Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.0439999999$10.00
09-14 08:51Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.07$17.40
09-14 08:49Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.1699999983$4.00
09-14 08:49Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-14 08:49Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?BUY0.0645172657$14.00
09-14 08:48Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.058$2.15
09-14 08:48Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.0252735786$6.07
09-14 08:48Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.152$15.97
08-24 23:54Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0260000001$9.00
08-24 23:54Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0059999994$10.00
08-24 23:53Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.177$19.35
08-21 13:39Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.0327469038$10.00