Xiyai
0x2b357c405600c09156148500544df772b34a2ec5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $172.6k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $82.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.85at 0.068Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$70.92at 0.124US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
- +$49.28at 0.039Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
- +$44.00at 0.120Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$29.26at 0.230US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999969 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 08:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.48 |
| 09-14 08:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.209999996 | $6.80 |
| 09-14 08:52 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0439999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 08:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $17.40 |
| 09-14 08:49 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 08:49 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 08:49 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.0645172657 | $14.00 |
| 09-14 08:48 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.058 | $2.15 |
| 09-14 08:48 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0252735786 | $6.07 |
| 09-14 08:48 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.152 | $15.97 |
| 08-24 23:54 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0260000001 | $9.00 |
| 08-24 23:54 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0059999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 23:53 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.177 | $19.35 |
| 08-21 13:39 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.0327469038 | $10.00 |