0x29f08d9af246acd381b26fd599597e59979fb56f
0x29f08d9af246acd381b26fd599597e59979fb56f
- Realised P&L
- $-457.67
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,474
- Open portfolio
- $224.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,474
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.58at 0.109Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$49.87at 0.114Egypt leading at halftime?
- +$40.28at 0.114Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
- +$38.83at 0.708Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?
- +$38.01at 0.057Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:34 | Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.6689998834 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 02:16 | Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | BUY | 0.589999977 | $3.59 |
| 09-30 16:33 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9739999988 | $1.59 |
| 09-30 08:17 | LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.589999899 | $1.46 |
| 09-30 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.96 |
| 09-30 04:54 | Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9659996943 | $1.34 |
| 09-30 04:51 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.16 |
| 09-30 04:50 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.98 |
| 09-30 04:02 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.45 |
| 09-30 04:02 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.15 |
| 09-29 18:36 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.92 |
| 09-29 18:14 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.15 |
| 09-29 17:10 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.39 |
| 09-29 16:53 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.8159996791 | $1.18 |
| 09-29 16:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.39 |