jiayadong
0x17b5a232e5b8490afabf7a76ebe637a53fd3c164
- Realised P&L
- $-176.56
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $54.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.19at 0.179Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.76at 0.410Packers vs. Lions
- +$5.23at 0.437Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$4.78at 0.462Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$4.32at 0.542Will CS Cristal win on 2026-09-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:24 | Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 09:23 | Will Girona FC win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 09:22 | Will GPT Sol 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 09:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 08:14 | Will Solana dip to $110 on September 24? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 08:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 06:18 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 09-13 06:18 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 06:16 | Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $4.00 |
| 09-13 06:15 | Will CS Cristal win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 00:27 | Toledo vs. Michigan State | BUY | 0.88 | $4.00 |
| 09-05 00:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 00:25 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999968 | $6.00 |
| 09-05 00:24 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.955999896 | $5.00 |