Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-01
Resolves by: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.993. up 0.493 over the period, from 0.500. Range 0.500 to 0.995. 53 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	65	65

Spread0.012Mid0.993

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.987	80	80
0.985	100	180
0.981	100	280
0.980	1	281
0.973	100	381
0.870	22	403
0.410	473	876
0.100	5	881
0.090	5	886
0.046	2,173	3,059
0.045	300	3,359
0.033	1,000	4,359

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.013	80	80
0.015	100	180
0.019	100	280
0.020	1	281
0.027	100	381
0.130	22	403
0.590	473	876
0.900	5	881
0.910	5	886
0.954	2,173	3,059
0.955	300	3,359
0.967	1,000	4,359

Spread0.012Mid0.007

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	65	65

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x0524023958973E608aF9fd0c753c409Bd9421479-1756619843218	Yes	180
i.newton	Yes	55
fElon	Yes	20
xtxpleasecallme	No	127
MorfisCrypto	No	80
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454	No	23
nagibator01	No	20
manochartino	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:52:34	BUY	Yes	0.99	100	$99.00
15:09:57	SELL	Yes	0.98	20	$19.60
22:53:25	SELL	Yes	0.983	80	$78.64
22:00:09	SELL	Yes	0.99	40	$39.60
19:08:27	BUY	Yes	0.99	55	$54.45
18:39:13	BUY	No	0.02	7	$0.14
18:39:09	SELL	No	0.01	15	$0.15
18:02:21	BUY	No	0.07	20	$1.40
17:54:46	BUY	Yes	0.88125	160	$141.00
17:54:46	BUY	Yes	0.9	5	$4.50