Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.28 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.14 to 0.57. 130 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.27	58	58
0.28	23	81
0.33	15	96
0.45	190	286
0.73	7	293
0.74	80	373
0.79	20	393
0.81	20	413
0.89	36	449
0.90	21	470
0.95	14	484
0.96	30	514

Spread0.17Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	6	6
0.07	6	12
0.06	50	62
0.05	5	67
0.04	56	122
0.03	250	372
0.02	798	1,171
0.01	765	1,935

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	6	6
0.93	6	12
0.94	50	62
0.95	5	67
0.96	56	122
0.97	250	372
0.98	798	1,171
0.99	765	1,935

Spread0.17Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.73	58	58
0.72	23	81
0.67	15	96
0.55	190	286
0.27	7	293
0.26	80	373
0.21	20	393
0.19	20	413
0.11	36	449
0.10	21	470
0.05	14	484
0.04	30	514

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	26.24
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	20.1
0xbada…d874	Yes	17.88
Numitus1994	Yes	15
alimohammadi	Yes	5.38
0xa39Fe164c54030B5f3Dc3D93Ac550a8Bed83fBDB-1768116899785	Yes	5
0xc6fd…53df	Yes	4.76
GuyFromTinder	No	53.7
Anjun	No	22
0x4613…7932	No	12.57
erFiodena	No	4.27
0x78c0…b3ca	No	1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:01:16	SELL	Yes	0.1025	20	$2.05
17:40:55	BUY	Yes	0.1858736059	5	$1.00
14:41:57	SELL	Yes	0.13	1	$0.13
04:02:37	SELL	Yes	0.12	19	$2.28
01:17:49	BUY	Yes	0.16	19	$3.04
01:17:49	BUY	Yes	0.1694704045	19	$3.20
15:39:45	SELL	Yes	0.16	15	$2.42
15:37:48	SELL	Yes	0.16	5	$0.80
10:02:34	BUY	Yes	0.179999992	20	$3.62
10:02:34	BUY	Yes	0.18	20	$3.62
10:02:32	BUY	Yes	0.1799999958	19	$3.43
09:18:00	SELL	No	0.83	29	$24.07
08:57:16	BUY	Yes	0.2	29	$5.80
01:48:45	BUY	Yes	0.27	22	$5.94
21:23:00	BUY	No	0.19	20	$3.80
23:37:31	BUY	Yes	0.84	5	$4.00