PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-05
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.04. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.08. Range 0.04 to 0.20. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.05234234
0.0620254
0.0720274
0.08410684
0.0935719
0.1495814
0.1520834
0.20100934
0.2120954
0.2220974
0.25501,024
0.29251,049

Spread0.02Mid0.04

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.032020
0.02293313
0.01480793

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.972020
0.98293313
0.99480793

Spread0.02Mid0.96

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.95234234
0.9420254
0.9320274
0.92410684
0.9135719
0.8695814
0.8520834
0.80100934
0.7920954
0.7820974
0.75501,024
0.71251,049

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
KiruaTradingYes191.27
NotAnIdiotYes179.3
AJSVYes94.56
2B9SYes46.34
pppnnYes40
0xBC142bdB0c9f6A197E890C7Fe6c5f8A24C542572-1773218488342Yes23.52
Gemini456No427.06
0xa5ef…2966No83.06
Gemini123No43.52
ScottsRoadNo20
big-bird1No1.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:02:05BUYNo0.9324$21.87
08:47:14BUYNo0.9120$18.20
06:16:15SELLYes0.08220$17.60
06:16:14SELLYes0.0920$1.80
06:15:53BUYNo0.921$1.23
06:15:51BUYNo0.9091139418427$388.25
04:57:02SELLNo0.8610$8.66
04:47:17SELLNo0.8220$16.40
04:47:15BUYYes0.124291985270$8.71