PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.135. down 0.015 over the period, from 0.150. Range 0.105 to 0.385. 105 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.150162162
0.29610172
0.29720192
0.30830222
0.30920242
0.50395337
0.50420357
0.63331388
0.634136524
0.63620544
0.73723566
0.738100666

Spread0.030Mid0.135

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.120193193
0.11920213
0.11620233
0.0326239
0.03168306
0.030300606
0.0205611
0.0115616
0.01025641
0.004101742
0.003212954
0.00210964

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.880193193
0.88120213
0.88420233
0.9686239
0.96968306
0.970300606
0.9805611
0.9895616
0.99025641
0.996101742
0.997212954
0.99810964

Spread0.030Mid0.865

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.850162162
0.70410172
0.70320192
0.69230222
0.69120242
0.49795337
0.49620357
0.36731388
0.366136524
0.36420544
0.26323566
0.262100666

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes109
Quarrelsome-BranchYes60
tradetosurvive1Yes31.5
Numitus1994Yes21.33
youtube-traderYes20
luciebotYes12.36
0xdA446074d3FF8c1fa87227705468BDb80B122E5a-1767763983249No120.5
0xa5ef…2966No72.93
GuyFromTinderNo40
ramc2005No20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:56:38BUYYes0.13920$2.78
16:38:14BUYNo0.9719$18.67
16:38:14BUYNo0.971$0.73
10:20:40BUYNo0.820$16.00
10:20:20SELLNo0.7820$15.60
10:19:22BUYYes0.1640$6.40
02:10:12SELLNo0.8620$17.20
02:09:35BUYYes0.1240$4.80
23:13:27BUYNo0.877$6.09
23:00:48BUYNo0.8582$69.70
21:32:06BUYNo0.8240$32.80
19:34:26BUYNo0.8212$9.43
16:40:51BUYNo0.8720$17.40
16:17:03BUYYes0.1520$3.00
14:30:50BUYNo0.7220$14.40
22:17:35BUYNo0.881$1.17
21:37:35BUYNo0.7420$14.80
17:25:09BUYYes0.1720$3.40