PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.45. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.10 to 0.53. 58 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.74205205
0.75100305
0.875310
0.905315
0.925320
0.9639359
0.9950409

Spread0.58Mid0.45

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.165959
0.112079
0.1060139
0.055144
0.0360204
0.02100304
0.0150354

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.845959
0.892079
0.9060139
0.955144
0.9760204
0.98100304
0.9950354

Spread0.58Mid0.55

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.26205205
0.25100305
0.135310
0.105315
0.085320
0.0439359
0.0150409

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes120
CarabaoYes40
dangtruong1991Yes25
tradetosurvive1Yes20
manochartinoYes5
MorfisCryptoNo142.63
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No20
GuyFromTinderNo20
df4d8fa4sdf5No20
pootytherewardfarmerNo7.3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:18:10BUYYes0.1840$7.20
19:29:12BUYYes0.1820$3.60
19:23:03BUYNo0.1920$3.80
19:18:09BUYYes0.1820$3.60
05:12:24SELLYes0.1222$2.64
05:11:57SELLYes0.1233$3.97
05:11:52SELLYes0.122$0.28
05:11:34BUYNo0.864238410657$49.59
05:11:33SELLYes0.1559732959142$22.20
22:55:21SELLYes0.1240$4.80
22:55:10SELLYes0.1220$2.40
22:54:00BUYNo0.5720$11.40
22:53:10BUYYes0.1520$3.00
22:52:51BUYYes0.1420$2.80
22:51:22SELLYes0.1542$6.30
22:51:10BUYYes0.1151821531244$28.14
19:56:22BUYNo0.920$18.00
19:56:21BUYNo0.8820$17.60
19:56:21BUYNo0.8740$34.80
19:18:07BUYYes0.1220$2.40
19:08:07BUYYes0.1620$3.20
19:08:03BUYNo0.8920$17.80