Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-12
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.486 over the period, from 0.500. Range 0.013 to 0.500. 159 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.026	61	61
0.048	17	78
0.050	400	478
0.056	25	504
0.096	5	509
0.163	70	579
0.164	5	584
0.165	60	644
0.253	40	684
0.255	70	754
0.365	60	814
0.495	40	854

Spread0.025Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	415	415

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	415	415

Spread0.025Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.974	61	61
0.952	17	78
0.950	400	478
0.944	25	504
0.904	5	509
0.837	70	579
0.836	5	584
0.835	60	644
0.747	40	684
0.745	70	754
0.635	60	814
0.505	40	854

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	102.57
flexer78	Yes	47.03
balthazar	Yes	20
bjprolo	Yes	10
haouibao	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	123.24
0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556	No	51.54
dogcrypto	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:15:48	SELL	Yes	0.001	0	$0.00
09:23:26	BUY	Yes	0.062	5	$0.31
09:17:56	BUY	No	0.998	52	$51.93
13:07:52	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90
07:32:50	BUY	Yes	0.03	52	$1.55
19:42:50	BUY	Yes	0.0289999999	51	$1.48