PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-19
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.405. up 0.309 over the period, from 0.095. Range 0.030 to 0.505. 93 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5098181
0.510400481
0.74080561
0.80610571
0.80775646
0.80881727
0.8198735
0.82660795
0.82820815
0.94870885
0.9491251,010
0.95051,015

Spread0.219Mid0.399

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.290400400
0.0505405
0.0125410
0.0037417
0.002259676
0.00135711

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.710400400
0.9505405
0.9885410
0.9977417
0.998259676
0.99935711

Spread0.219Mid0.601

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4918181
0.490400481
0.26080561
0.19410571
0.19375646
0.19281727
0.1818735
0.17460795
0.17220815
0.05270885
0.0511251,010
0.05051,015

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
VibeTraderYes42.97
AJSVYes35.26
yoshimuroYes20
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes10.29
KiruaTradingYes10.28
0xa5ef…2966No78.22
cigarettesNo20
mamenshowNo10.28
webwebweb66No5.26
0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556No5.26

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:28:04BUYNo0.709999981510$7.30
06:03:01BUYYes0.0543$2.15
06:02:01BUYYes0.0510$0.51
18:52:51BUYYes0.0520$1.00
07:10:41BUYNo0.955$5.00
22:11:55BUYNo0.9520$19.00
11:06:52BUYNo0.9610$9.60