PolyBot

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Traders

mamenshow

0x2c3689178e4f95661753bfe70940cef2ab390355

Realised P&L
$18.69
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$49.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.7700.775$17.11+$0.11
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.8900.875$16.71−$0.29
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.3700.375$9.12+$0.12
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.7100.601$6.17−$1.13
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.3720.000$0.00−$50.54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 14:28Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.7099999815$7.30
10-13 14:26Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.001$0.02
10-13 00:37Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.7699999923$17.00
10-13 00:37Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.889999999$17.00
10-13 00:31Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.3699999897$9.00
10-13 00:24Will Criciúma EC vs. América FC end in a draw?SELL0.06$2.16
10-13 00:09Will Criciúma EC vs. América FC end in a draw?BUY0.12$1.92
10-12 23:41Will Criciúma EC vs. América FC end in a draw?BUY0.29$5.80
10-11 21:02US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.9729999817$37.26
10-11 19:04Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-11?SELL0.999$37.13
10-11 17:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?SELL0.967$14.13
10-11 17:15Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.8199999943$17.28
10-11 17:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?SELL0.967$17.44
10-10 10:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.9609999998$173.38
10-05 22:37US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.9499999957$164.80