PolyBot

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Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-28
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.039. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.040. Range 0.025 to 0.390. 129 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0685050
0.0691565
0.070420485
0.16484569
0.17440609
0.17550659
0.250203862
0.25120882
0.2522001,082
0.25451,087
0.25871,094
0.261401,134

Spread0.058Mid0.039

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01055
0.008160165
0.00320185
0.00240225
0.001325550

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99055
0.992160165
0.99720185
0.99840225
0.999325550

Spread0.058Mid0.961

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9325050
0.9311565
0.930420485
0.83684569
0.82640609
0.82550659
0.750203862
0.74920882
0.7482001,082
0.74651,087
0.74271,094
0.739401,134

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
2B9SYes297
TheJewishHammerYes30
AJSVYes19.09
GuyFromTinderYes9.99
0xa5ef…2966No739.09
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836No307
TemuOracleNo9.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:45:42SELLYes0.02287$5.74
12:45:28SELLYes0.02520$0.50
12:45:25BUYNo0.96307$294.72
03:50:00BUYNo0.9410$9.40
22:51:33BUYNo0.9410$9.39
19:40:42SELLYes0.059$0.45
19:40:24BUYNo0.959$8.64
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude… · PolyBot Pro