PolyBot

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Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-21
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.048 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.017 to 0.100. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01977
0.026142149
0.035203352
0.043110462
0.050400862
0.0705867
0.12043910
0.14352962
0.152401,002
0.15351,007
0.600201,027
0.601401,067

Spread0.003Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01677
0.015395402
0.013236638
0.0113721,010
0.0031531,163
0.0021061,269
0.0012751,544

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98477
0.985395402
0.987236638
0.9893721,010
0.9971531,163
0.9981061,269
0.9992751,544

Spread0.003Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98177
0.974142149
0.965203352
0.957110462
0.950400862
0.9305867
0.88043910
0.85752962
0.848401,002
0.84751,007
0.400201,027
0.399401,067

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
0xb857…9648Yes486.36
AJSVYes63.33
sdfsdfsdfsdf2Yes32.01
TheJewishHammerYes25
youtube-traderYes20
bjproloYes12
LucerysYes7.32
0xa5ef…2966No829.14
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836No287.27
KiruaTradingNo222.55
PPMTNo6.68

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:05:39SELLNo0.9617$6.42
15:50:19BUYNo0.96413$12.84
15:04:45BUYNo0.9895$4.95
15:04:45BUYNo0.9896$5.93
15:04:45BUYNo0.98910$9.89
15:04:45BUYNo0.98914$14.11
15:04:45BUYNo0.98917$16.81
15:04:45BUYNo0.9896$6.04
15:04:43BUYYes0.0734693878147$10.80
14:21:03BUYYes0.0497879909262$13.05
11:10:04BUYNo0.9912$11.88
15:28:08SELLYes0.0447$1.88
12:41:39SELLYes0.0431$1.24
11:20:06SELLYes0.0420$0.80
11:20:04SELLYes0.05112$5.60
11:20:01BUYNo0.94287$270.03
05:28:09BUYYes0.0817$1.34
00:30:30SELLYes0.0420$0.80
23:18:09BUYNo0.9214$12.42
23:18:09BUYNo0.925$4.60
23:14:03BUYNo0.9220$18.40