PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.08 to 0.16. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.131,1641,164
0.143131,477
0.151,1822,659
0.16832,742
0.22202,762
0.31852,847
0.32502,897
0.35502,947
0.3652,952
0.411003,052
0.421173,169
0.431,0004,169

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.121,1901,190
0.112,2393,429
0.106994,128
0.091944,322
0.07504,372
0.066034,975
0.051305,105
0.041,6756,780
0.032,0838,864
0.023,36512,229
0.016,94719,175

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.881,1901,190
0.892,2393,429
0.906994,128
0.911944,322
0.93504,372
0.946034,975
0.951305,105
0.961,6756,780
0.972,0838,864
0.983,36512,229
0.996,94719,175

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.871,1641,164
0.863131,477
0.851,1822,659
0.84832,742
0.78202,762
0.69852,847
0.68502,897
0.65502,947
0.6452,952
0.591003,052
0.581173,169
0.571,0004,169

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AlphaGoooYes200
murkotYes98.69
0x688B15F0B28ED993dba8EE14F3485ddbB55349F5-1774551591274Yes80.68
AJSVYes46.36
AlexielLucifenYes10
LucerysYes4
0xa5ef…2966No348.72
cigarettesNo40
pppnnNo30.55
ZhouCDNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:09:50SELLNo0.871$0.60
23:22:48SELLYes0.120$0.03
23:17:17BUYNo0.8813$11.26
23:17:12SELLYes0.1227$3.24
23:17:08BUYNo0.8810$8.80
23:17:06SELLYes0.1210$1.20
23:17:06BUYNo0.885$4.40
23:17:06BUYNo0.8822$19.36
23:17:05BUYNo0.8810$8.80
19:12:57SELLNo0.8749$42.36
19:12:56BUYYes0.129999999699$12.83
05:10:02SELLNo0.8715$13.05
05:09:57BUYYes0.1315$1.95
06:42:39SELLYes0.1350$6.50
06:42:39BUYNo0.8713$11.32
06:42:39BUYNo0.8715$13.05
06:42:38BUYNo0.87100$87.00
06:42:38BUYNo0.8714$12.18
04:20:39SELLYes0.1390$11.70
10:14:54BUYNo0.8718$16.01
10:14:53BUYNo0.8717$14.45
10:12:36BUYYes0.1410$1.40
07:51:57BUYNo0.879$7.83
15:18:15SELLYes0.1320$2.60
15:18:12BUYNo0.8720$17.40