PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.064. down 0.067 over the period, from 0.130. Range 0.004 to 0.195. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.11977
0.1361522
0.1664768
0.16785153
0.16860213
0.19950263
0.20070333
0.260100433
0.261135568
0.26240608
0.26370678
0.2655683

Spread0.113Mid0.063

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00699
0.0056271
0.004300371
0.0035,0005,370
0.0022605,630
0.0011,4437,073

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99499
0.9956271
0.996300371
0.9975,0005,370
0.9982605,630
0.9991,4437,073

Spread0.113Mid0.938

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.88177
0.8641522
0.8344768
0.83385153
0.83260213
0.80150263
0.80070333
0.740100433
0.739135568
0.73840608
0.73770678
0.7355683

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AlexielLucifenYes198
AJSVYes76
2B9SYes50
VonVonaghYes46.68
bjproloYes10
smidiaYes6.8
0xa5ef…2966No348.72
cigarettesNo40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:52:29BUYYes0.005138$0.69
09:22:48SELLYes0.0030$0.00
23:17:17BUYNo0.991312513$12.69
23:17:06BUYNo0.98922$21.76
23:17:05BUYNo0.9895$4.95
23:17:05BUYNo0.98910$9.89
06:42:38BUYNo0.9796504155100$97.96
06:42:38BUYNo0.97914$13.71
06:42:38BUYNo0.978999999815$14.68
10:14:53BUYNo0.9817$16.28
10:14:53BUYNo0.9818$18.03
07:51:57BUYNo0.9789$8.80
15:18:12BUYNo0.95520$19.10
15:18:12BUYNo0.95520$19.10
08:35:32BUYNo0.9810$9.80
14:11:02BUYNo0.974$3.88
14:03:13BUYNo0.972$1.93
13:32:27BUYNo0.979$8.73
13:32:27BUYNo0.975$4.85
13:32:27BUYNo0.975$4.86
11:23:29BUYNo0.9711$10.36
08:46:14BUYNo0.976$5.82
08:46:14BUYNo0.975$4.85
07:59:03BUYNo0.9720$19.40