PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 30% or more?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.136. up 0.062 over the period, from 0.074. Range 0.015 to 0.345. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2511818
0.2562038
0.4905088
0.49133121
0.769635756
0.7703001,056
0.77481,064
0.84061,070
0.89091,079
0.9201051,184
0.9302121,396
0.9403241,720

Spread0.229Mid0.137

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.022100100
0.0105105
0.00913118
0.003240358
0.002409767
0.0013651,132

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.978100100
0.9905105
0.99113118
0.997240358
0.998409767
0.9993651,132

Spread0.229Mid0.863

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7491818
0.7442038
0.5105088
0.50933121
0.231635756
0.2303001,056
0.22681,064
0.16061,070
0.11091,079
0.0801051,184
0.0702121,396
0.0603241,720

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
VonVonaghYes50
AJSVYes27.15
GuyFromTinderYes23.13
wrongdirectionYes17.89
qwerfvYes16
e46m3Yes8
Mojito9Yes6.82
0xa5ef…2966No132.97
JonnyANo16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:20:12BUYYes0.0110$0.10
18:19:52SELLYes0.009908817610$0.10
15:21:01BUYNo0.98810$9.88
11:29:58BUYNo0.903999995210$9.03
11:29:57SELLYes0.09610$0.96
11:28:16BUYNo0.9120$18.20
01:59:03SELLYes0.0110$0.10
14:36:43SELLNo0.97110$9.71
10:13:16BUYNo0.96710$9.67
08:46:30SELLYes0.01115$0.16
19:55:49BUYYes0.063758$0.51
17:26:28SELLYes0.0118$0.18
17:23:06BUYNo0.46999991693$1.47
17:21:01SELLYes0.0160$0.60
17:20:57BUYNo0.985$4.90
17:20:25BUYNo0.9437$34.92
01:17:45BUYNo0.6616$10.56