PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 3%-6%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.24. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.21 to 0.24. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.256969
0.26150219
0.2720239
0.28100339
0.5313352
0.5860412
0.7030442
0.717449
0.789458
0.799467
0.80250717
0.826723

Spread0.02Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.238080
0.22154234
0.215239
0.1923262
0.036268
0.0211279

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.778080
0.78154234
0.795239
0.8123262
0.976268
0.9811279

Spread0.02Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.756969
0.74150219
0.7320239
0.72100339
0.4713352
0.4260412
0.3030442
0.297449
0.229458
0.219467
0.20250717
0.186723

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes236.99
fkpaYes80.1
PPMTYes25.68
winexecutescaleYes20
grove223Yes9.85
0xa5ef…2966No266.77
2B9SNo53
HaradwaithNo46.83
0xa24d…7857No5
mustbethewaterNo1.03

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:17:02BUYYes0.2814$4.01
00:04:09BUYYes0.229999998891$20.95
15:21:45BUYNo0.76999998749$37.86
15:21:45BUYNo0.7818$13.74
15:21:45BUYNo0.769999987518$13.56
15:21:45BUYNo0.7720$15.40
15:21:45SELLYes0.24170$40.91
09:56:53SELLNo0.7640$30.61
15:22:45SELLNo0.7520$15.00
09:29:09SELLYes0.2560$15.00
09:22:31SELLYes0.2515$3.75
09:22:30SELLNo0.7316$11.48
09:22:28BUYYes0.2720$5.40
09:22:22SELLNo0.7240$28.80
08:57:45SELLYes0.2620$5.20
08:57:42SELLYes0.2620$5.20
08:57:40SELLYes0.29580$23.60
08:57:37BUYYes0.2257914971442$99.85
15:05:52BUYNo0.7913$10.27
16:16:41BUYYes0.2214$3.08
08:13:22BUYYes0.2220$4.40
23:07:49BUYYes0.2212$2.53
15:01:36SELLYes0.2229$6.42
10:13:47SELLNo0.7827$21.21
12:40:44SELLYes0.2132$6.72