0xa24d776fbbbd868fb3e6d9832bf59ceca77c7857
0xa24d776fbbbd868fb3e6d9832bf59ceca77c7857
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $76.1k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$28.23at 0.713Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 30%-35%?
- +$27.33at 0.850Will OXY play for Cloud9 in 2027?
- +$23.77at 0.724Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:31 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.824 | $42.23 |
| 10-20 15:30 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.824 | $98.88 |
| 10-20 15:30 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.824 | $139.05 |
| 10-20 15:30 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.824 | $174.07 |
| 10-20 15:30 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.824 | $155.53 |
| 10-20 15:30 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.824 | $272.95 |
| 10-20 15:29 | Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | BUY | 0.3853846154 | $25.05 |
| 10-20 15:29 | Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.564 | $33.84 |
| 10-20 15:29 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.8280244814 | $24.87 |
| 10-20 15:28 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.8148587381 | $35.70 |
| 10-20 11:59 | Will Ryusuke Hamaguchi be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.67 | $46.90 |
| 10-20 11:32 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.708 | $14.16 |
| 10-20 10:59 | Will Ryusuke Hamaguchi be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6233333333 | $9.35 |
| 10-20 10:40 | Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5497117982 | $95.37 |
| 10-20 10:34 | Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5491666667 | $65.90 |