Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.65. up 0.15 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.34 to 0.67. 42 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	106	106
0.86	355	461
0.87	500	961
0.89	40	1,001
0.93	8	1,009
0.94	88	1,097
0.96	25	1,122
0.97	7	1,129
0.98	50	1,179
0.99	124	1,303

Spread0.41Mid0.65

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	5	5
0.43	40	45
0.35	20	65
0.34	100	165
0.17	20	185
0.08	8	193
0.07	42	235
0.06	5	240
0.05	50	290
0.04	20	310
0.03	6	315
0.02	530	845

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	5	5
0.57	40	45
0.65	20	65
0.66	100	165
0.83	20	185
0.92	8	193
0.93	42	235
0.94	5	240
0.95	50	290
0.96	20	310
0.97	6	315
0.98	530	845

Spread0.41Mid0.36

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	106	106
0.14	355	461
0.13	500	961
0.11	40	1,001
0.07	8	1,009
0.06	88	1,097
0.04	25	1,122
0.03	7	1,129
0.02	50	1,179
0.01	124	1,303

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Pitosyflautas	Yes	59.99
AJSV	Yes	28.61
BraveBaboon	Yes	20.21
2B9S	Yes	20
justrideua	No	40
BAO95889	No	36.04
pootytherewardfarmer	No	21
RewardsProduction	No	20
GuyFromTinder	No	11.55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:08:17	BUY	Yes	0.6	12	$6.93
12:15:11	SELL	No	0.512962963	81	$41.55
07:48:20	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
05:35:47	SELL	Yes	0.34	7	$2.39
05:33:26	SELL	No	0.65	20	$13.00
05:30:07	SELL	Yes	0.38	15	$5.69
05:30:07	SELL	No	0.62	5	$3.11
05:28:35	SELL	No	0.62	20	$12.40
05:27:07	SELL	Yes	0.38	3	$1.13
05:26:59	SELL	Yes	0.38	6	$2.28
05:26:58	BUY	No	0.62	5	$3.11
05:26:58	SELL	No	0.67	5	$3.36
05:26:50	BUY	Yes	0.31	5	$1.55
05:26:26	SELL	No	0.623	20	$12.46
05:11:47	SELL	No	0.68	19	$12.92
05:11:26	SELL	No	0.68	20	$13.60
05:11:11	BUY	No	0.5144494476	191	$98.25
20:47:17	BUY	Yes	0.494845169	20	$10.00