PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

BraveBaboon

0x263c87a8cfec0c50565a482b7e87834e09461b3c

Realised P&L
$-785.72
Volume
$48.7k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$341.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3620.445$142.80+$26.57
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.5620.575$99.00+$2.28
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.885$29.83$0.17
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0720.004$16.73$330.27
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4950.690$13.95+$3.95
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4950.640$12.93+$2.93
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1100.110$12.00+$0.00
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0440.004$5.27$52.55
Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0010.001$3.66$6.34
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0710.006$3.58$35.42
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0100.001$1.00$19.00
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0090.001$0.52$9.48
Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00$5.00
XRP Up or Down - September 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down0.0170.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 11:25Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
09-24 11:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-24 11:17Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.219999978$1.00
09-24 11:16Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.4$1.00
09-24 11:15Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-24 11:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-24 11:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-24 11:10Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$5.80
09-24 10:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.01$2.00
09-24 10:04Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-24 09:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42$3.34
09-24 08:04Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.5899999976$69.72
09-24 07:59US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999979$30.00
09-24 07:55Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
09-24 07:46Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.2261051487$114.40