PolyBot

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Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-21
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.318. up 0.182 over the period, from 0.135. Range 0.022 to 0.433. 87 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5653737
0.5661855
0.5702580
0.59020100
0.59110110
0.64320130
0.66621151
0.667100251
0.67320271
0.8026277
0.80320297
0.80620317

Spread0.495Mid0.318

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0702020
0.003525
0.002285310
0.001627937

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9302020
0.997525
0.998285310
0.999627937

Spread0.495Mid0.682

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4353737
0.4341855
0.4302580
0.41020100
0.40910110
0.35720130
0.33421151
0.333100251
0.32720271
0.1986277
0.19720297
0.19420317

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes255.05
LornaPredictsYes20
123987456Yes5
GuyFromTinderYes4
balthazarYes3.13
0xa5ef…2966No257.34
JusDuBNo20.03
UmarothNo5.2
Hugin-og-MuninNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:03:15SELLNo0.4719757439200$94.37
16:12:37SELLYes0.1410$1.40
12:57:22BUYNo0.68315$10.38
12:27:58BUYNo0.6825$3.41
12:27:58BUYNo0.682965$3.41
11:35:10SELLNo0.50920$10.18
07:55:28SELLNo0.641523809525$16.17
04:16:27SELLYes0.1160$0.00
00:37:46SELLYes0.0020$0.00
00:37:45BUYYes0.0725$1.76
00:37:45BUYYes0.07265$18.54
17:20:05BUYNo0.95999997513$12.28
16:37:28SELLYes0.04210$0.42
11:03:19SELLNo0.9787$7.04
11:02:59BUYYes0.0420$0.80
09:54:58BUYNo0.9787$7.04
09:02:26BUYYes0.0415$0.60
08:52:08SELLYes0.0430$1.20
06:35:17BUYNo0.934$3.72
03:29:46BUYNo0.986$5.88
01:56:07BUYNo0.998$8.02
01:49:16BUYNo0.995$4.95
01:42:47BUYNo0.9913$12.76
00:57:14BUYNo0.9820$19.60
00:45:28BUYNo0.9813$12.54