0xb20924f839ac62f1c2256eddb04cf2d71f4e7e80
- Realised P&L
- $-7.81
- Volume
- $125.89
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.075 | $1.21 | −$0.72 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.021 | $0.58 | −$1.33 |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.43 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.96 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.12at 0.490San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$0.87at 0.850AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 22:27 | Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.43 |
| 06-12 22:27 | Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.43 |
| 06-01 14:42 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | BUY | 0.1099999527 | $1.93 |
| 05-30 21:53 | San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.4899999651 | $4.92 |
| 05-22 14:26 | Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999478 | $1.93 |
| 05-22 14:24 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.0686985577 | $1.91 |
| 05-19 20:30 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.83 |
| 05-19 15:16 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8499999914 | $4.97 |
| 05-19 14:35 | Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7899999681 | $4.96 |