semi-semi-
0xc4f0d8e94a90ad0ad24bb27529df26a8949be891
- Realised P&L
- $-21.0k
- Volume
- $413.7k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $10.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-77.77at 0.506Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-1.6kat 0.780Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $22.77 |
| 09-13 14:12 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $202.10 |
| 09-08 14:15 | LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.07 | $223.05 |