PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.28. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.28 to 0.29. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.29150150
0.30100250
0.3153303
0.3983386
0.535391
0.5413404
0.6650454
0.6830484
0.69100584
0.717591
0.789600
0.8220620

Spread0.01Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.28222222
0.2720242
0.26165407
0.1021428
0.0924452
0.037459
0.0212471

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.72222222
0.7320242
0.74165407
0.9021428
0.9124452
0.977459
0.9812471

Spread0.01Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.71150150
0.70100250
0.6953303
0.6183386
0.475391
0.4613404
0.3450454
0.3230484
0.31100584
0.297591
0.229600
0.1820620

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
lexus-rulesYes82.92
BodytobodyYes59
pootytherewardfarmerYes46
pppnnYes29.99
PP55PYes26
0xa5ef…2966No97.2
AJSVNo40.33
2B9SNo28.67
FkNgrsNo23.92
resilience26No20.16
lolzzzlolNo17.8
tradetosurvive1No11
DJaNo4.83

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:55:42SELLYes0.285$1.40
10:12:28BUYNo0.725$3.48
04:51:58BUYNo0.722$1.58
13:01:45BUYNo0.7230$21.59
08:27:07SELLNo0.7540$30.00
08:21:42SELLYes0.256$1.50
07:37:39SELLNo0.7320$14.60
07:37:22SELLNo0.7420$14.80
07:17:13SELLNo0.732540$29.30
06:57:09SELLNo0.769897540$30.80
06:37:18SELLNo0.7540$30.00
05:57:15SELLNo0.833333333330$25.00
05:41:37SELLNo0.9270$243.00
17:40:03SELLYes0.0810$0.80
17:37:31SELLYes0.0810$0.80
17:34:55SELLYes0.0810$0.80
17:16:18SELLYes0.0810$0.80
16:50:00SELLYes0.0910$0.90
17:30:27SELLYes0.120$2.00
16:52:15BUYNo0.6053756124294$177.93
01:45:19BUYNo0.822$17.76