PolyBot

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.24. down 0.33 over the period, from 0.57. Range 0.18 to 0.66. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.509696
0.5120116
0.5236152
0.6419171
0.9713184
0.9841225
0.9964289

Spread0.46Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0455
0.037075
0.02783
0.0166149

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9655
0.977075
0.98783
0.9966149

Spread0.46Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.509696
0.4920116
0.4836152
0.3619171
0.0313184
0.0241225
0.0164289

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
pootytherewardfarmerYes102.03
2B9SYes90.24
frontiertradeYes45.52
infoowlYes40
AJSVYes36.25
pppnnYes20
monoclithYes19.4
LaribobiboYes15.87
MrYanDaoYes3
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862No85.18
Started-with-20-USDNo79
HDGBNo61
0xbada…d874No58.79
FishHunterNo46.08
easyautomateNo12.47
ScoopdewhoopNo10
tradetosurvive1No7.82
PerformSleepStateNo7
hitagiiiNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:37:33BUYYes0.0920$1.80
12:32:33BUYYes0.0917$1.53
12:32:33BUYYes0.093$0.27
12:27:54SELLNo0.746$4.50
12:27:52BUYNo0.7440$29.60
12:27:31SELLYes0.2812$3.41
12:27:28BUYNo0.70999995736$4.32
12:27:28BUYNo0.70999996886$4.33
11:39:57BUYYes0.38999993375$2.00
11:39:45BUYNo0.6341$25.83
21:56:24BUYNo0.5720$11.40
20:17:55BUYNo0.4910$4.90
20:17:55BUYNo0.4910$4.90
18:38:51BUYNo0.55100$55.00
16:11:57BUYNo0.5435$18.80
16:01:57BUYNo0.55999993825$2.90
16:01:41BUYYes0.4540$18.00
12:31:57BUYNo0.585$2.90
11:08:04BUYYes0.4420$8.80
11:56:48SELLNo0.231$0.28
07:45:09SELLNo0.156$0.95
17:16:39SELLNo0.151$0.18
12:18:22SELLNo0.321$0.19
01:52:46SELLYes0.324$1.41
22:15:28SELLYes0.2720$5.40