gjj7tbmkk763ggg
0xe29e4b491a3982694f5978bdbf3a3570f087fa35
- Realised P&L
- $-11.7k
- Volume
- $2.71M
- Markets traded
- 698
- Open portfolio
- $842.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded698
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.054 | $786.66 | −$365.00 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.040 | $55.39 | −$19.51 |
| Bucks vs. Clippers · Bucks | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks | 0.419 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zips · Massachusetts Minutemen | 0.294 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies · Jazz | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bulls vs. Lakers · Bulls | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Suns vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.438 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs · Mavericks | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.28 |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez · Alejandro Tabilo | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.09 |
| Raptors vs. Clippers · Raptors | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$249.99 |
| Trail Blazers vs. 76ers · Trail Blazers | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Rockets vs. Bulls · Rockets | 0.577 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.163Rockets vs. Knicks
- +$4.2kat 0.309Hornets vs. Trail Blazers
- +$3.3kat 0.029Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$2.3kat 0.520Warriors vs. Mavericks
- +$2.3kat 0.545Nuggets vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 03:47 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | BUY | 0.0672455325 | $53.90 |
| 07-06 03:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $23.18 |
| 07-06 03:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $11.95 |
| 07-06 03:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $21.99 |
| 07-06 03:46 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | BUY | 0.0349538515 | $21.00 |
| 07-01 03:30 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0118983947 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 03:29 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.083 | $26.01 |
| 06-29 23:34 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0819999961 | $17.90 |
| 06-29 23:34 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.999 | $19.37 |
| 06-29 23:13 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4299999892 | $8.34 |
| 06-29 22:42 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0881701282 | $461.59 |
| 06-28 03:59 | Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina? | SELL | 0.999 | $636.31 |
| 06-28 03:48 | Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.6355549463 | $217.33 |
| 06-28 03:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.069 | $234.95 |
| 06-28 03:46 | Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.61 | $179.95 |