MATGG
0x3984850b86c892645f0a12e9734588721e83d8f2
- Realised P&L
- $-27.11
- Volume
- $440.92
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $13.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.040 | $3.95 | −$2.05 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $3.82 | −$6.18 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.412 | 0.160 | $3.67 | −$5.78 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.046 | $1.88 | −$2.12 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.70 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.94at 0.720Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$0.17at 0.920US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 22:12 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0989999787 | $4.00 |
| 04-25 08:38 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.411999978 | $9.45 |
| 04-22 21:12 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 04-22 21:03 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 04-22 20:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY | 0.1539999762 | $4.39 |
| 04-22 20:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.7199998618 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 20:44 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.00 |
| 04-22 20:42 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0549999902 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 20:40 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |