Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 30, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.497 over the period, from 0.500. Range 0.003 to 0.500. 140 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.005	5,000	5,000
0.008	577	5,577
0.010	9,175	14,752
0.052	7	14,759
0.053	20	14,779
0.501	5	14,784
0.502	5	14,789
0.599	5	14,794
0.600	1,600	16,394
0.650	2,286	18,680
0.700	2,667	21,346
0.750	3,520	24,866

Spread0.004Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	349	349

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	349	349

Spread0.004Mid0.997

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.995	5,000	5,000
0.992	577	5,577
0.990	9,175	14,752
0.948	7	14,759
0.947	20	14,779
0.499	5	14,784
0.498	5	14,789
0.401	5	14,794
0.400	1,600	16,394
0.350	2,286	18,680
0.300	2,667	21,346
0.250	3,520	24,866

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
thrthr	Yes	848.85
neutralwave23	Yes	632.28
Kingfish58	Yes	121.1
miloskg	Yes	55.56
MisTKy	Yes	39
AJSV	Yes	35.35
em...well	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	5
kevtp	No	923.13
noreasapa	No	825

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:18:31	BUY	Yes	0.01	825	$8.25
09:14:49	BUY	Yes	0.009	24	$0.21
03:22:03	BUY	Yes	0.0082576383	121	$1.00
14:25:48	SELL	No	0.993	5	$5.01
10:26:35	BUY	Yes	0.0179999999	56	$1.00
23:04:41	BUY	Yes	0.0150092481	632	$9.49
09:14:04	SELL	Yes	0.002	49	$0.10
09:00:25	BUY	No	0.99	50	$49.44
09:00:21	BUY	No	0.99	5	$5.00
09:00:18	BUY	No	0.989	91	$89.91