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Traders

noreasapa

0x4ad6cadefae3c28f5b2caa32a99ebba3a614464c

Realised P&L
$167.8k
Volume
$78.67M
Markets traded
8,903
Open portfolio
$30.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,903
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration94.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9970.998$13.5k+$9.24
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? · No0.9900.996$5.2k+$30.19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9950.995$5.0k−$2.50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.9850.996$2.0k+$21.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9950.997$1.8k+$2.66
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · No0.9950.996$1.1k+$0.33
Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 30, 2026? · No0.9900.997$822.52+$5.78
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? · No0.9960.995$661.28−$0.69
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · No0.9950.997$606.36+$0.82
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? · No0.9940.997$267.80+$0.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 16:50US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.12$120.00
09-24 00:08Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9969125759$12.1k
09-24 00:06Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?BUY0.995538214$661.97
09-24 00:02Trump meets with Putin by September 30?BUY0.995$181.18
09-23 19:54Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?BUY0.9988971024$242.69
09-23 19:51Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September?BUY0.9985986356$737.74
09-23 19:51Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?BUY0.9978379916$259.55
09-23 19:50Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?BUY0.9964189526$938.24
09-23 19:50Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?BUY0.9980329606$2.0k
09-23 12:24Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group CBUY0.986227761$818.09
09-22 19:34Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsBUY0.9982432498$205.19
09-22 14:07Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?BUY0.994$267.13
09-22 14:06Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.9951503887$605.54
09-22 14:05Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.9955454442$438.03
09-22 13:58Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.996$1.4k
Trader noreasapa · PolyBot Pro