Kingfish58
0xae9ad81d42f8b5152179b8c8a751b75b9da50ad9
- Realised P&L
- $-92.45
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $12.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.37at 0.360Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 05:23 | Iran leadership change by August 15? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 16:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 10:17 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 10:55 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.0158071527 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 09:13 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0690000011 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 10:09 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 09:57 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.967 | $5.37 |
| 07-10 16:21 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.0355121435 | $11.00 |
| 07-09 08:15 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.65 |
| 06-29 11:13 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 07:51 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 07:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.00329873 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 07:47 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 07:46 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 07:45 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |