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Traders

Kingfish58

0xae9ad81d42f8b5152179b8c8a751b75b9da50ad9

Realised P&L
$-92.45
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$12.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0690.064$4.60$0.40
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.1000.075$3.75$1.25
Iran leadership change by August 15? · Yes0.0100.012$1.20+$0.20
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0800.010$1.08$7.57
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.060$0.86$0.14
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0900.075$0.83$0.17
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0480.021$0.45$0.55
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$18.94
Iran leadership change by July 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$16.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$10.00
Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · No0.1800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 05:23Iran leadership change by August 15?BUY0.01$1.00
07-28 16:48Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.004$1.00
07-28 10:17Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1$5.00
07-25 10:55Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.0158071527$5.00
07-15 09:13China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0690000011$5.00
07-14 10:09Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-14 09:57Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.967$5.37
07-10 16:21Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.0355121435$11.00
07-09 08:15Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.08$8.65
06-29 11:13Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
06-22 07:51Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
06-22 07:48Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.00329873$1.00
06-22 07:47Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
06-22 07:46Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.001$1.00
06-22 07:45Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.002999997$1.00