Kingfish58
0xae9ad81d42f8b5152179b8c8a751b75b9da50ad9
- Realised P&L
- $-94.15
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $14.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.37at 0.360Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:22 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0082576383 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 14:56 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0077707248 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 12:13 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 05:23 | Iran leadership change by August 15? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 16:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 10:17 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 10:55 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.0158071527 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 09:13 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0690000011 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 10:09 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 09:57 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.967 | $5.37 |
| 07-10 16:21 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.0355121435 | $11.00 |
| 07-09 08:15 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.65 |
| 06-29 11:13 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 07:51 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 07:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.00329873 | $1.00 |