PolyBot

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Traders

Kingfish58

0xae9ad81d42f8b5152179b8c8a751b75b9da50ad9

Realised P&L
$-94.15
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$14.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0790.055$7.66−$3.34
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0690.057$4.09−$0.91
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0080.006$1.54−$0.46
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0900.065$0.72−$0.28
Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0080.003$0.36−$0.64
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.1000.006$0.30−$4.70
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0480.004$0.09−$0.91
Iran leadership change by August 15? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$18.94
Iran leadership change by July 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$16.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$10.00
Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 03:22Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0082576383$1.00
09-05 14:56Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0077707248$2.00
08-29 12:13Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
08-08 05:23Iran leadership change by August 15?BUY0.01$1.00
07-28 16:48Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.004$1.00
07-28 10:17Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1$5.00
07-25 10:55Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.0158071527$5.00
07-15 09:13China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0690000011$5.00
07-14 10:09Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-14 09:57Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.967$5.37
07-10 16:21Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.0355121435$11.00
07-09 08:15Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.08$8.65
06-29 11:13Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
06-22 07:51Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
06-22 07:48Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.00329873$1.00