PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.64. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.59. Range 0.42 to 0.69. 36 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.651313
0.704053
0.71138191
0.7230221
0.73100321
0.7460381
0.75267648
0.83100748
0.846754
0.8566820
0.862001,020
0.872151,235

Spread0.03Mid0.64

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.62154154
0.60100254
0.5885339
0.5798437
0.56201639
0.556111,250
0.54401,290
0.53201,310
0.50281,338
0.49201,358
0.401101,468
0.392561,724

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.38154154
0.40100254
0.4285339
0.4398437
0.44201639
0.456111,250
0.46401,290
0.47201,310
0.50281,338
0.51201,358
0.601101,468
0.612561,724

Spread0.03Mid0.36

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.351313
0.304053
0.29138191
0.2830221
0.27100321
0.2660381
0.25267648
0.17100748
0.166754
0.1566820
0.142001,020
0.132151,235

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
molodoyyYes680
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Yes534.35
dgfd76Yes195.26
OriKingYes88
DemelcioYes36.36
lightsout912Yes20
weathercommitteeYes20
0xD0698A02dEd7B86284eBf25e9dB0Bb0d787AD078-1779655870153Yes14.22
0x8e8208EF4D217dA3608479639dAA218a52EC30aF-1772207100223Yes10
b4rbedYes5.23
0x0a069Yes5
piggyramenYes5
0x342d…82feYes1.75
johnnyxtYes1.72
guhiliYes1.54
MineYoursNo975.99
AJSVNo110.87
tradetosurvive1No86.36
OlcanNo70
0xca75…0a64No60

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:08:03BUYYes0.652$1.00
05:00:39BUYYes0.582242045588$51.24
04:05:30BUYYes0.5810$5.80
02:46:57BUYYes0.5799998262$1.00
22:27:14SELLYes0.56215$120.26
22:03:51BUYYes0.57215$122.32
22:02:53BUYYes0.565$2.80
21:56:47BUYYes0.5640$22.40
21:40:18BUYYes0.549999993136$20.00
20:15:29SELLNo0.43267$114.98
20:13:17SELLNo0.507580$40.60
20:08:36BUYYes0.478100$47.80
20:07:18BUYNo0.505200$101.00
19:53:36BUYYes0.51195054451$25.88
19:53:15BUYYes0.50999989024$2.23
19:53:11BUYYes0.5180$90.00
18:11:33SELLNo0.52120$62.47
18:10:35SELLNo0.54113$61.02
17:43:53SELLNo0.6230$18.60
17:42:39BUYNo0.55158$86.90
17:21:54BUYNo0.4643627451204$94.73
16:07:12BUYYes0.57145$82.48
16:07:02BUYYes0.56999993695$2.98
16:06:59BUYYes0.569999993512$7.01
16:06:57BUYYes0.56999982332$1.00