PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

guhili

0x5a0958fc99d476479d8a3765383be0997355efe7

Realised P&L
$-20.33
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$3.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage · Team Vitality0.8901.000$2.25+$0.25
Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026? · No0.9600.880$0.92−$0.08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1490.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 7? · No0.0820.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down0.4890.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? · No0.7820.000$0.00−$2.00
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana ETF approved by July 31? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Solana reach $270 in September? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 9? · Down0.8160.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 10:02Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
10-06 10:01LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageBUY0.889999911$1.00
10-06 10:01LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageBUY0.8899996084$1.00
09-06 11:11Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.9729992177$1.00
09-06 11:11Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.84$1.00
08-27 08:34Will Trump post "Communist" or "Communism" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
08-27 08:33Will Dell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 20+ times during earnings call?BUY0.96$1.00
08-27 08:32Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.8$1.22
08-03 05:08Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?BUY0.9799991572$1.00
08-03 05:08Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.65$1.00
06-04 17:51Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
06-04 17:34Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
06-04 17:33Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?BUY0.7819997552$2.00
05-05 21:49Will "Crack" or "Dope" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?BUY0.498999505$1.00
05-05 21:48Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?BUY0.1019999143$1.00