guhili
0x5a0958fc99d476479d8a3765383be0997355efe7
- Realised P&L
- $-20.33
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $3.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.200Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.57at 0.280Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 7?
- +$0.93at 0.564Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.49at 0.670Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
- +$0.39at 0.720Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 10:02 | Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:01 | LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:01 | LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.8899996084 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 11:11 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.9729992177 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 11:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 08:34 | Will Trump post "Communist" or "Communism" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 08:33 | Will Dell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 20+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 08:32 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.22 |
| 08-03 05:08 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.9799991572 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 05:08 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 17:51 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 17:34 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 17:33 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | BUY | 0.7819997552 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 21:49 | Will "Crack" or "Dope" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? | BUY | 0.498999505 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 21:48 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit? | BUY | 0.1019999143 | $1.00 |