PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

guhili

0x5a0958fc99d476479d8a3765383be0997355efe7

Realised P&L
$-21.16
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$2.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6500.670$1.03+$0.03
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.9801.000$1.02+$0.02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1430.000$0.00$0.96
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 7? · No0.0820.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$2.89
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$1.00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$1.00
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? · No0.7820.000$0.00$2.00
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$1.00
Solana ETF approved by July 31? · No0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Solana reach $270 in September? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$1.00
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 9? · Down0.8100.000$0.00$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:08Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?BUY0.9799991572$1.00
08-03 05:08Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.65$1.00
06-04 17:51Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
06-04 17:34Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
06-04 17:33Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?BUY0.7819997552$2.00
05-05 21:49Will "Crack" or "Dope" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?BUY0.498999505$1.00
05-05 21:48Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?BUY0.1019999143$1.00
05-05 21:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.9$1.00
05-05 21:47Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
05-05 21:46Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?BUY0.94$2.00
04-09 14:37Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.4699999702$2.77
04-09 13:38Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or higher on April 10?BUY0.9949991244$1.00
04-09 13:36Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 9?BUY0.8099996274$0.98
04-09 13:32Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
04-09 13:31Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1429999999$0.91