guhili
0x5a0958fc99d476479d8a3765383be0997355efe7
- Realised P&L
- $-21.16
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $2.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.200Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.57at 0.280Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 7?
- +$0.93at 0.564Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.49at 0.670Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
- +$0.39at 0.720Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:08 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.9799991572 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 05:08 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 17:51 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 17:34 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 17:33 | Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? | BUY | 0.7819997552 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 21:49 | Will "Crack" or "Dope" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? | BUY | 0.498999505 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 21:48 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit? | BUY | 0.1019999143 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 21:47 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 21:46 | Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 04-09 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $2.77 |
| 04-09 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or higher on April 10? | BUY | 0.9949991244 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 13:36 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 9? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $0.98 |
| 04-09 13:32 | Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 04-09 13:31 | Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1429999999 | $0.91 |